By
Feb 13, 2022 (Gmt+09:00)
South Korea's strengthened antitrust rules relating to inter-affiliate trade provided the Carlyle Group with a valuable opportunity to invest in Hyundai Glovis Co., undervalued compared to its global peers. To comply with the regulations, the automotive group's founding family was required to reduce their stake in Glovis by 10% to 19.99%.
Carlyle's $500 million investment in the logistics arm of Hyundai Motor Group last month is also considered a deal that aligns the private equity giant's interests with those of Hyundai Motor Chairman Chung Euisun: lifting Glovis' enterprise value to maximize returns for both its top shareholder Chung and Carlyle.
Its purchase of a 10% stake in Glovis has other implications too: as an investor that won the trust of Chairman Chung, it stands to benefit from the automotive group's potential reform of its complex ownership, which has been shelved for several years.
Its circular ownership structure may seem complicated enough to put off western investment firms, but helping Chung resolve the cross-shareholdings is expected to create new investment opportunities for Carlyle in other Hyundai Motor Group companies.
INTERESTS ALIGNED
(Unit: KRW)
Company Name | Stake | Market Value* |
---|---|---|
Hyundai Mobis | 0.30% | 661.0 billion |
Hyundai Motor | 2.60% | 1.08 trillion |
Kia | 1.70% | 527.1 billion |
Hyundai Glovis | 19.99% | 1.2 trillion |
Hyundai Autoever | 7.30% | 255.5 billion |
Hyundai Wia | 2.00% | 36.0 billion |
Hyundai Engineering | 11.70% | 1.2 billion** |
Note: *As of end-January, 2022 ** Based on the estimated enterprise value of 10 trillion won
(Unit: KRW)
Company Name | Stake | Market Value* |
---|---|---|
Hyundai Mobis | 7.50% | 1.7 trillion |
Hyundai Motor | 5.30% | 2.2 trillion |
Hyundai Steel | 11.80% | 625.0 billion |
Hyundai Engineering | 4.70% | 470.0 billion** |
Total | 4.9 trillion |
Note: *As of end-January, 2022 ** Based on the estimated enterprise value of 10 trillion won
Source: Bloomberg
Its Japanese rival Nippon Yusen Kobushiki, which has a similar business structure to Glovis', is traded at eight times EBITDA, below the median multiple of 10.8 for car shipping companies around the world.
Valuations of Hyundai Glovis peers
Peers | EV / EBITDA |
---|---|
Nippon Yusen Kobushiki | 8.1x |
Mitsui OSK Lines | 13.6x |
Kawasaki Kisen | 17.3x |
Wallenius Wihelmsen | 5.6x |
Median | 10.8x |
Glovis' shares have been hovering below the 300,000 won level since 2015, when the Chung family sold off its shares in accordance with tightened antitrust regulations.
Carlyle's purchase of Glovis shares in block trade resolved its stock overhang concerns, which had weighed on its share price over the past six years.
Carlyle made a bet that Chairman Chung, as the top shareholder of Glovis, would strive to boost its corporate value.
The 10% stake sold to Carlyle was divided into a 3.29% stake held by Chung and a 6.71% stake from the senior Chung, the entirety of the honorary chairman's holdings in Glovis.
NEW MOMENTUM, EXIT OPTIONS
For its part, Carlyle is expected to help Glovis increase margins from transactions with sister companies, which account for 60% of its 20 trillion won in revenue.
In intra-group transactions, Glovis had sacrificed some margins to avoid criticism that it received favors from affiliated companies, according to industry observers.
As a board member, Carlyle could urge the car shipping company to charge its affiliates standard rates and to increase dividend payments as well.
Glovis could also team up with the PE firm to chase logistics software developers and robotics companies in other countries to find a new growth driver. Additionally, Carlyle could give a helping hand to Hyundai in communicating with activist shareholders such as Elliott Management.
For divestment, Carlyle may consider selling its 10% stake in Glovis, together with Chairman Chung's 19.99% stake, to a third party with a management premium. But that option seems unrealistic unless other Hyundai Motor Group units assure the would-be buyer they will maintain business relations with Glovis.
A second option would be unloading its shares on the market after its share price rises. Alternatively, Carlyle may take part in a transaction led by Chung when he trades his Glovis shares for those of Mobis held by Kia Corp. Afterward, the PE house could sell the Mobis shares, which it swaps with Glovis shares, in the stock market.
Still, such options are just ideas being floated in the market.
"It seems that Carlyle did not have a clear exit strategy in mind when investing in Glovis," said an investment banking source. "They made a bet on a successful reform of Hyundai Motor's ownership structure under Chairman Chung's leadership."
Carlyle CEO Lee, a US citizen of Korean descent, took the helm of the PE giant as co-CEO in 2018 and was appointed CEO in July 2020.
The 56-year-old is more familiar with the Korean culture and systems than other global funds' leaders since he spent his early years in South Korea with his parents. His late father Hak-jong Lee served as dean of Yonsei University's college of business administration in Seoul.
"This investment in Glovis would be hardly thinkable for other private equity firms managed by Americans only," a PE industry source told The Korea Economic Daily.
"It means getting involved in the process of overhauling Hyundai's complex ownership structure."
Carlyle's bet on the governance reform of the family-controlled Korean conglomerate is expected to help the $300 billion investment firm build an unparalleled track record and reputation in the country.
If successful, the deal will pave the way for Carlyle's new partnership opportunities with other South Korean conglomerates.
Write to Chang Jae Yoo at yoocool@hankyung.com
Yeonhee Kim edited this article.
Jan 06, 2022 (Gmt+09:00)
Nov 19, 2021 (Gmt+09:00)
Jul 22, 2020 (Gmt+09:00)